Long-horizon behavioral prediction engines produce 90-day trajectories. This post examines when prediction becomes pre-judgment, and what legal protections should apply.
Key Analysis
Pre-crime behavioral scoring creates an actionable record before any wrong has been done.
The right not to be pre-judged by an algorithm is emerging in EU case law.
Long-horizon confidence decay — essential in technical systems — is rarely communicated to decision-makers.
Risk Signals
90-day behavioral predictions presented without confidence decay curves.
Prediction scores used to restrict access to services before any harm has occurred.
Action Items
Display prediction confidence decay curves alongside long-horizon scores.
Prohibit adverse action based solely on prediction scores — require corroborating observable evidence.